UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men East Carolina 1
  
East Carolina         
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 85.5244

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Queens Atlantic Sun ( 6-11, 83.0) 12- 8 225 A Elon Colonial ( 9- 8, 86.7) 7-12 301 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun ( 8-10, 84.2) 14-15 310 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 5-11, 84.1) 16-17 312 N UC Davis Big 12 ( 6-10, 86.3) 9-17 316 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlanti ( 9- 9, 83.2) 17- 9 322 H South Florida AAC (13- 5, 88.3) 9-23 325 H Duke ACC (12- 5, 91.0) 13-14 329 A Temple AAC ( 4-12, 85.2) 11-10 401 A Clemson ACC (13- 6, 91.3) 4-15 405 A Old Dominion AAC ( 8- 9, 83.3) 12-10 409 H North Carolina ACC (18- 0, 99.9) 4-20 412 H Vanderbilt AAC ( 9- 9, 86.6) 14-13 419 A UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6-10, 82.4) 13-12 422 H William & Mary Colonial ( 6-10, 84.5) 14-13 426 H James Madison AAC (14- 4, 91.3) 13-14 501 N South Florida AAC (13- 5, 88.3) 12-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Queens                 12- 8       4     2           1.91
   225 A Elon                    7-12      -5    -2    -     -3.33
   301 A Coastal Carolina       14-15      -1     1          -1.86
   310 A San Diego State        16-17      -1     1          -1.99
   312 N UC Davis                9-17      -8    -1    --    -4.21
   316 H Quinnipiac             17- 9       8     3    +      2.19
   322 H South Florida           9-23     -14    -2    -     -2.66
   325 H Duke                   13-14      -1    -5    +      3.98
   329 A Temple                 11-10       1     0           1.13
   401 A Clemson                 4-15     -11    -6           0.00
   405 A Old Dominion           12-10       2     2           0.20
   409 H North Carolina          4-20     -16   -14           0.00
   412 H Vanderbilt             14-13       1    -1           1.64
   419 A UNC-Charlotte          13-12       1     3          -1.64
   422 H William & Mary         14-13       1     1          -0.44
   426 H James Madison          13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.00
   501 N South Florida          12-14      -2    -3           0.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 N UC Davis                9-17      -8    -1    --    -4.21
   225 A Elon                    7-12      -5    -2    -     -3.33
   322 H South Florida           9-23     -14    -2    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H James Madison          13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.00
   316 H Quinnipiac             17- 9       8     3    +      2.19
   325 H Duke                   13-14      -1    -5    +      3.98

East Carolina Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron East Carolina   East Carolina
Albany Albany tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albany
American East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
Arizona State Arizona State Arizona State   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Army Army   Army
Binghamton East Carolina   East Carolina
Boston College Boston College insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Boston College
Boston University East Carolina   East Carolina
Brown Brown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brown
Bryant Bryant tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bryant
Bucknell East Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Carolina
Butler East Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Carolina
California California insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) California
Campbell East Carolina East Carolina   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Canisius East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Central Connecticut East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Central Michigan East Carolina   East Carolina
Cincinnati Cincinnati tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cincinnati
Clemson Clemson Clemson  
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina  
Colgate Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Colorado Colorado Colorado   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Columbia East Carolina   East Carolina
Connecticut Connecticut tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Connecticut
Cornell Cornell   Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Davidson Davidson insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Davidson
Delaware Delaware insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Delaware
Delaware State East Carolina   East Carolina
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Denver
Detroit Mercy East Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Carolina
Drexel Drexel insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Drexel
Duke Duke Duke  
Duquesne East Carolina   East Carolina
Eastern Michigan East Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Carolina
Elon Elon Elon  
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield
Fairleigh Dickinson East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Florida Florida Florida   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Furman East Carolina tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) East Carolina
Gardner Webb East Carolina East Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 3
George Mason East Carolina   East Carolina
George Washington East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
Georgetown Georgetown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Georgetown
Harvard Harvard   Harvard
High Point High Point insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) High Point
Hofstra Hofstra tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Howard (DC) East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Iona East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
Jacksonville Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Jacksonville
James Madison James Madison James Madison  
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kennesaw State East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) East Carolina
Kent State East Carolina   East Carolina
La Salle East Carolina   East Carolina
Lafayette East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Le Moyne East Carolina   East Carolina
Lehigh East Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Carolina
Liberty Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Liberty
Lindenwood East Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) East Carolina
LIU East Carolina   East Carolina
Longwood East Carolina East Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Louisville Louisville tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Louisville
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD)   Loyola (MD)
Manhattan East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
Marist East Carolina   East Carolina
Marquette Marquette   Marquette
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts   Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Mercer Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Mercer
Mercyhurst East Carolina   East Carolina
Merrimack East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth (NJ) East Carolina East Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mount St Marys East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
Navy Navy   Navy
New Hampshire East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Niagara East Carolina East Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina  
Northwestern Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Ohio State Ohio State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Ohio State
Old Dominion East Carolina East Carolina  
Oregon East Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Carolina
Penn Penn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Pittsburgh
Presbyterian East Carolina   East Carolina
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Queens East Carolina East Carolina  
Quinnipiac East Carolina East Carolina  
Radford East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Rhode Island East Carolina   East Carolina
Richmond Richmond tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Richmond
Rider East Carolina East Carolina   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Robert Morris East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
Rutgers Rutgers tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rutgers
Sacred Heart East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
San Diego State San Diego State San Diego State  
Siena East Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Carolina
South Florida South Florida South Florida  
Southern California Southern California Southern California   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Bonaventure East Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Carolina
St Francis East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
St Josephs (PA) St Josephs (PA) tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Josephs (PA)
Stanford Stanford Stanford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stetson East Carolina tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) East Carolina
Stonehill East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Carolina
Stony Brook Stony Brook insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Syracuse
Temple East Carolina East Carolina  
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Towson
UC Davis UC Davis UC Davis  
UMBC East Carolina tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) East Carolina
UNC-Charlotte East Carolina East Carolina  
Vanderbilt East Carolina East Carolina  
VCU East Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) East Carolina
Vermont East Carolina   East Carolina
Villanova Villanova insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Villanova
Virginia Virginia Virginia   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech   3- 4 vs 1- 6
Wagner East Carolina   East Carolina
William & Mary East Carolina East Carolina  
Winthrop East Carolina East Carolina   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Wofford East Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) East Carolina
Xavier East Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) East Carolina
Yale Yale tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Yale
Youngstown State East Carolina   East Carolina

PowerWise = 67


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.82

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Queens          ( 6-11, 83.0)    12- 8      -16.93      13.62       0.46         0.99            13.94
   0 A Elon            ( 9- 8, 86.7)     7-12      -13.17      17.39       0.46         0.99           -12.58
   0 A Coastal Caroli  ( 8-10, 84.2)    14-15      -15.70      14.86       0.46         0.99           -15.08
   0 A San Diego Stat  ( 5-11, 84.1)    16-17      -15.83      14.73       0.46         0.99           -15.20
   0 N UC Davis        ( 6-10, 86.3)     9-17      -13.59      16.97      -0.00         0.99           -13.44
   0 H Quinnipiac      ( 9- 9, 83.2)    17- 9      -16.72      13.83      -0.46         0.99            13.23
   0 H South Florida   (13- 5, 88.3)     9-23      -11.57      18.98      -0.46         0.99           -11.91
   0 H Duke            (12- 5, 91.0)    13-14       -8.93      21.63      -0.46         0.99            -9.30
   0 A Temple          ( 4-12, 85.2)    11-10      -14.71      15.84       0.46         0.99            16.14
   0 A Clemson         (13- 6, 91.3)     4-15       -8.59      21.97       0.46         0.99            -8.04
   0 A Old Dominion    ( 8- 9, 83.3)    12-10      -16.64      13.92       0.46         0.99            14.23
   0 H North Carolina  (18- 0, 99.9)     4-20       -0.00      30.56      -0.46         0.99            -0.46
   0 H Vanderbilt      ( 9- 9, 86.6)    14-13      -13.28      17.28      -0.46         0.99            16.64
   0 A UNC-Charlotte   ( 6-10, 82.4)    13-12      -17.48      13.07       0.46         0.99            13.40
   0 H William & Mary  ( 6-10, 84.5)    14-13      -15.35      15.20      -0.46         0.99            14.59
   0 H James Madison   (14- 4, 91.3)    13-14       -8.63      21.93      -0.46         0.99            -9.00
   0 N South Florida   (13- 5, 88.3)    12-14      -11.57      18.98      -0.00         0.99           -11.45
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -4.29

winning pts = 102.1687 losing points = -106.4565

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------